Mahindra Logistics: SELL - Delayed execution and integration losses
02-02-2024

We recommended Mahindra logistics at CMP of Rs. 475 in March’21. After that, the price went up to Rs. 750 and then has corrected. We have been patient with the stock but post Rivigo acquisition there have been delays in execution.  

What is management’s recent commentary?

·         Integration of Rivigo (B2B express business) has been completed but EBITDA breakeven is delayed. Management has guided that the same will be achieved by the end of Q2FY25 (Sep’24).

·         Management evaluates acquisition on a 7-year IRR basis and is optimistic of returns on a long-term horizon.

·         While order intake has been positive, conversions have been slower and volume growth needs to be higher (~30%+) to reach breakeven levels. Management is of the opinion that partial truckload business has synergy benefits and aids their overall offering.   

 

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