Happy Forgings Ltd - Stock Valuation and Financial Performance

BSE: 544057 | NSE: HAPPYFORGE | Forgings | Small Cap

Happy Forgings Share Price

946.70 15.30 1.64%
as on 26-Apr'24 16:01

DeciZen - make an informed investing decision on Happy Forgings

Overall Rating
Bole Toh

1. Quality

2. Valuation

Somewhat overvalued

3. Price Trend

Semi Strong

Happy Forgings stock performance -

mw4me loader
P/E Ratio (SA):
42.78
Market Cap:
8,927.8 Cr.
52-wk low:
813.6
52-wk high:
1,087.9

Is Happy Forgings Ltd an attractive stock to invest in?

1. Is Happy Forgings Ltd a good quality company?

Past 10 year's financial track record analysis by Moneyworks4me indicates that Happy Forgings Ltd is a average quality company.

2. Is Happy Forgings Ltd undervalued or overvalued?

The key valuation ratios of Happy Forgings Ltd's currently when compared to its past seem to suggest it is in the Somewhat overvalued zone.

3. Is Happy Forgings Ltd a good buy now?

The Price Trend analysis by MoneyWorks4Me indicates it is Semi Strong which suggest that the price of Happy Forgings Ltd is likely to Rise-somewhat in the short term. However, please check the rating on Quality and Valuation before investing.

10 Year X-Ray of Happy Forgings:

Analysis of Financial Track Record

Data adjusted to bonus, split, extra-ordinary income, rights issue and change in financial year end
Data adjusted to bonus, split, extra-ordinary income, rights issue and change in financial year end

Data adjusted to bonus, split, extra-ordinary income, rights issue and change in financial year end.

Financial track record gives insight into the company's performance on key parameters over the past ten years. MoneyWorks4me’s proprietary colour codes make it easy for retail investors to gauge the company’s past performance.
Happy Forgings Ltd has performed well in some of the past ten years indicating its past ten year financial track record is somewhat good

Value Creation

Value Creation Index Colour Code Guide

Mar'11Mar'12Mar'13Mar'14Mar'15Mar'16Mar'20Mar'21Mar'22Mar'23TTM
ROCE % 10.3%10.3%4.4%8%9.1%11.5%19.1%12.7%15.8%19.3%-
Value Creation
Index
-0.2-0.2-0.7-0.4-0.3-0.20.4-0.10.20.4-

Growth Parameters

Growth Parameters Colour Code Guide

Sales 1862522482983413755585858601,1971,197
Sales YoY Gr.-35.3%-1.7%20.3%14.6%9.8%49%4.8%47%39.1%-
Adj EPS 1.30.9-1.50.50.92.28.89.615.623.222.2
YoY Gr.--29.8%-264.1%NA89.8%131.2%309.8%8.4%62.8%48.9%-
BVPS (₹) 7.68.97.3810.216.662.472.188110.4218
Adj Net
Profit
8.15.7-9.63.56.916.978.985.5139207209
Cash Flow from Ops. 0009.428.53916949.980.3209-
Debt/CF from Ops. 00025.58.25.30.73.131-

CAGR

CAGR Colour Code Guide

9 Years 5 Years 3 Years 1 Years
Sales 23%28.5%29%39.1%
Adj EPS 37.6%90.2%38%48.9%
BVPS34.6%61.1%21%25.5%
Share Price - - - -

Key Financial Parameters

Performance Ratio Colour Code Guide

Mar'11Mar'12Mar'13Mar'14Mar'15Mar'16Mar'20Mar'21Mar'22Mar'23TTM
Return on
Equity %
19.411.2-18.96.710.416.422.914.219.423.313.5
Op. Profit
Mgn %
22.221.116.117.318.52025.727.126.928.726.5
Net Profit
Mgn %
4.42.3-3.91.224.514.114.616.217.317.4
Debt to
Equity
4.34.24.84.23.11.60.20.20.30.2-
Working Cap
Days
1851711831691631501622231801570
Cash Conv.
Cycle
1209774698377831261251160

Recent Performance Summary

Sales growth is growing at healthy rate in last 3 years 28.95%

Net Profit is growing at healthy rate in last 3 years 38.01%

Return on Equity has declined versus last 3 years average to 13.50%

Sales growth is not so good in last 4 quarters at 8.11%

Latest Financials - Happy Forgings Ltd.

Standalone Consolidated
TTM EPS (₹) 22.2 22.2
TTM Sales (₹ Cr.) 1,197 1,197
BVPS (₹.) 218 211.8
Reserves (₹ Cr.) 2,035 1,977
P/BV 4.35 4.47
PE 42.78 42.78
From the Market
52 Week Low / High (₹) 813.55 / 1087.85
All Time Low / High (₹) 813.55 / 1087.85
Market Cap (₹ Cr.) 8,928
Equity (₹ Cr.) 18.8
Face Value (₹) 2
Industry PE 42.2

Management X-Ray of Happy Forgings:

Shareholding Pattern

Promoter's Holding & Share Pledging

Pledged *0.000.00
* Pledged shares as % of Promoter's holding (%)

Event Update

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Analyst's Notes

Key Ratios of Happy Forgings

Adj EPS (Rs.)

Sales (Cr.)

ROE (%)

ROCE (%)

Profit And Loss

(All Figures are in Crores.)
PARTICULARSMar'11Mar'12Mar'13Mar'14Mar'15Mar'16Mar'20Mar'21Mar'22Mar'23
Sales1862522482983413755585858601,197
Operating Expenses 145199208246278300416426629856
Manufacturing Costs28405262717399102143173
Material Costs107144134151169185249252388551
Employee Cost 491419192349496988
Other Costs 67815182019243044
Operating Profit 415340526375142159231341
Operating Profit Margin (%) 22.2%21.1%16.1%17.3%18.5%20.0%25.5%27.1%26.8%28.5%
Other Income 2311927666
Interest 2231312729292512712
Depreciation 13161821262828363854
Exceptional Items 0000000000
Profit Before Tax 810-85172096117192280
Tax 04122316315071
Profit After Tax 86-10315178086142209
PAT Margin (%) 4.4%2.3%-3.9%1.2%4.3%4.5%14.3%14.8%16.5%17.4%
Adjusted EPS (₹)1.30.9-1.50.52.02.28.99.715.923.3
Dividend Payout Ratio (%)0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%

Balance Sheet

(All Figures are in Crores.)
PARTICULARSMar'11Mar'12Mar'13Mar'14Mar'15Mar'16Mar'20Mar'21Mar'22Mar'23

Equity and Liabilities

Shareholders Fund 4755475776131558645788988
Share Capital 666778991818
Reserves 4148405069123550636770970
Minority Interest0000000000
Debt174197223227214184105150236193
Long Term Debt9911817117215713554307458
Short Term Debt75795255564951120162134
Trade Payables19435651473936384448
Others Liabilities 88693455455664416298
Total Liabilities 3283643603903824107638741,1301,326

Fixed Assets

Gross Block214261273292310367332507586859
Accumulated Depreciation274361821081355792130181
Net Fixed Assets187218212210203232275415456678
CWIP 19447411094021275
Investments 0000000000
Inventories59655670767376122184170
Trade Receivables505560787467138166222308
Cash Equivalents 025453562810
Others Assets1419222120331091045495
Total Assets 3283643603903824107638741,1301,326

Cash Flow

(All Figures are in Crores.)
PARTICULARSMar'11Mar'12Mar'13Mar'14Mar'15Mar'16Mar'20Mar'21Mar'22Mar'23
Cash Flow From Operating Activity 000928391695080209
PBT 0005172096117192280
Adjustment 00020182750464071
Changes in Working Capital 000-15-3-147-79-109-78
Tax Paid 000-1-3-7-25-34-43-64
Cash Flow From Investing Activity 000-21-5-24-119-59-166-172
Capex 000-22-4-20-101-92-191-174
Net Investments 000000-5129232
Others 0001-1-533420
Cash Flow From Financing Activity 00010-22-17-501083-37
Net Proceeds from Shares 0007250000
Net Proceeds from Borrowing 000000-16-29482
Interest Paid 000000-12-25-7-12
Dividend Paid 0000000000
Others 0004-25-22-236442-27
Net Cash Flow 000-11-201-30
PARTICULARSMar'11Mar'12Mar'13Mar'14Mar'15Mar'16Mar'20Mar'21Mar'22Mar'23
Ratios
ROE (%)20.1311.21-18.916.7322.1716.3923.1914.3619.8623.5
ROCE (%)13.0815.348.2711.3615.2615.2423.8817.4621.8126.18
Asset Turnover Ratio0.680.810.770.880.981.060.950.710.860.97
PAT to CFO Conversion(x)00N/A31.872.292.110.580.561
Working Capital Days
Receivable Days78687676736167958281
Inventory Days85818069706549626554
Payable Days62791351301068555543930

Happy Forgings Ltd Stock News

Happy Forgings Ltd FAQs

Company share prices are keep on changing according to the market conditions. The closing price of Happy Forgings on 26-Apr-2024 16:01 is ₹946.7.
Market capitalization or market cap is determined by multiplying the current market price of a company's shares with the total number of shares outstanding. As of 26-Apr-2024 16:01 the market cap of Happy Forgings stood at ₹8,927.8.
The latest P/E ratio of Happy Forgings as of 26-Apr-2024 16:01 is 42.78.
The latest P/B ratio of Happy Forgings as of 26-Apr-2024 16:01 is 4.35.
The 52-week high of Happy Forgings is ₹1,087.9 and the 52-week low is ₹813.5.
The TTM revenue is Trailing Twelve Months sales. The TTM revenue/sales of Happy Forgings is ₹1,197 ( Cr.) .

About Happy Forgings Ltd

Happy Forgings was incorporated as ‘Happy Forgings Private Limited’ at Jalandhar, Punjab as a private limited company under the Companies Act, 1956, pursuant to a certificate of incorporation dated July 2, 1979, issued by the Registrar of Companies, Punjab, Himachal Pradesh and Chandigarh. Thereafter, the company was converted from a private limited company to a public limited company, pursuant to a resolution passed in the EGM of its Shareholders held on March 31, 1998, and the name of the Company was changed to ‘Happy Forgings Limited’, and a fresh certificate of incorporation dated April 1, 1998, was issued to the company by the Registrar of Companies, Punjab, Himachal Pradesh and Chandigarh.

The company is the fourth largest engineering led manufacturer of complex and safety critical, heavy forged and high precision machined components in India as of Fiscal 2023 in terms of forgings capacity. The company, through its vertically integrated operations, is engaged in engineering, process design, testing, manufacturing, and supply of a variety of components that are both margin accretive and value-additive. It primarily caters to domestic and global original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) manufacturing commercial vehicles in the automotive sector, while in the non-automotive sector, it caters to manufacturers of farm equipment, off-highway vehicles and manufacturers of industrial equipment and machinery for oil and gas, power generation, railways and wind turbine industries.

With many years of experience of manufacturing and supplying quality and complex components according to customers specifications, it has emerged as a leading player in the domestic crankshaft manufacturing industry with the second largest production capacity for commercial vehicle and high horse-power industrial crankshafts in India. Its focus on producing margin accretive value-added products has led to its transition from being a forging led business to a machined components manufacture. It manufactures a wide range of heavy forged and machined products which include crankshafts, front axle beams, steering knuckles, differential cases, transmission parts, pinion shafts, suspension products and valve bodies across industries for a diversified base of customers.

Business area of the company 

The company is principally engaged in manufacturing of forgings and related components. It primarily caters to domestic and global original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) manufacturing commercial vehicles in the automotive sector, while in the non-automotive sector, it caters to manufacturers of farm equipment, off-highway vehicles and manufacturers of industrial equipment and machinery for oil and gas, power generation, railways and wind turbine industries

Products of the company

  • Crankshafts
  • Front axle beams 
  • Steering knuckles 
  • Differential cases 
  • Transmission parts 
  • Pinion shafts 
  • Suspension products 
  • Valve bodies

Awards, accreditations or recognitions

  • 2011: ‘Best in Class’ award by Oerlikon Drive Systems.
  • 2012: ‘Development’ award by JCB India Limited.
  • 2015: ‘Best Supplier (Forging)’award from a gear manufacturing company.
  • 2016: ‘Overall Excellence in Cost Delivery and Quality’ award at Partners Meet 2016 organised by Escorts.
  • 2016: ‘Proactive Cost Competitiveness’ award for the year 2015-16 at Supplier Summit 2016 organised by Ashok Leyland.
  • 2017: ‘Outstanding Contribution in Overall Performance Excellence’ award from VE Commercial Vehicles, a joint venture of Volvo Group & Eicher Motors.
  • 2017: ‘Sanjeevani Award’ by an engine manufacturing company.
  • 2018: ‘Delivery Excellence’ award at the Meritor Europe Truck Supplier Day by Meritor.
  • 2021: Received the IATF 16949:2016 accreditation for manufacturing of forged and machined components without product design responsibility and with the extended manufacturing site(s) for Kanganwal Facility I.
  • 2021: Received the ISO 14001: 2015 accreditation for manufacture of forged and machined components Kanganwal Facility I. 
  • 2021: Received the ISO 45001: 2018accreditation for manufacture of forged and machined components Kanganwal Facility I.
  • 2022: ‘Excellence Award’ by Escorts Kubota Limited.
  • 2022: Received the IATF 16949:2016 accreditation for manufacture of forged and machined components and excluding product design Dugri Facility.
  • 2023: ‘Supplier Excellence Award’ for delivery performance at AAM (American Axle Manufacturing) India Supplier Event 2023.
  • 2023: Award for Outstanding Contribution in Gear Business’ at the Annual Supplier Conference 2023 organised by Eicher Engineering Components, VE Commercial Vehicles.
  • 2023: Received a certificate of appreciation for supplier agri machinery under ‘Business Excellence Process/Digitalisation’ by Escorts Kubota Limited
  • 2023: Received the ISO 45001:2018 accreditation for manufacture of forged and machined components and excluding product design Dugri Facility.
  • 2023: Received the ISO 14001:2015 accreditation for manufacture of forged and machined components and excluding product design Dugri Facility.

History and milestones

  • 1979: Incorporation of the Company.
  • 1995: Purchased heavy duty hammers for manufacturing at Kanganwal Facility II.
  • 2006: Commencement of operations at Kanganwal Facility I.
  • 2007: The revenue from operations of the Company crossed Rs 1,000 million.
  • 2008: Commissioned its first 8,000 ton forging press.
  • 2009: Commencement of manufacturing front steering parts by procuring axle arms.
  • 2009: Installed model grinding technology used to manufacture four cylinder and six cylinder crankshafts.
  • 2011: Ventured into new industries i.e. commercial vehicles, farm equipments and industrial equipments.
  • 2017: Commissioned its second 8,000 ton forging press.
  • 2018: Fund raised from India Business Excellence Fund-III.
  • 2018: The revenue from operations of the Company crossed Rs 500 crore
  • 2019: Forayed into a new sector by manufacturing pinion shaft to cater to the manufacturers in the wind turbine industry.
  • 2021: Installed its third 8,000 ton forging press line.
  • 2021: Commencement of its operations at the Dugri Facility.
  • 2022: Commencement of sale of front axle beam for electric buses to one of its customers catering in the commercial vehicle industry
  • 2022: Its long term bank facilities were assigned ‘AA-(Stable)’rating each from CRISIL Ratings and ICRA Limited.
  • 2022: Commissioned its first 14,000 ton forging press line.
  • 2022: Installed eight dedicated lines for manufacturing crankshafts.

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