LIC Housing Finance Ltd - Stock Valuation and Financial Performance

BSE: 500253 | NSE: LICHSGFIN | Finance - Housing | Mid Cap

LIC Housing Finance Share Price

580.20 24.85 4.47%
as on 23-Jan'25 16:59

DeciZen - make an informed investing decision on LIC Housing Finance

Overall Rating
Bole Toh

1. Quality

2. Valuation

Somewhat Undervalued

3. Price Trend

Semi Strong

IC Housing Finance stock performance -

mw4me loader
P/E Ratio (CD):
6.53
Market Cap:
31,914.7 Cr.
52-wk low:
530
52-wk high:
827

Is LIC Housing Finance Ltd an attractive stock to invest in?

1. Is LIC Housing Finance Ltd a good quality company?

Past 10 year's financial track record analysis by Moneyworks4me indicates that LIC Housing Finance Ltd is a average quality company.

2. Is LIC Housing Finance Ltd undervalued or overvalued?

The key valuation ratios of LIC Housing Finance Ltd's currently when compared to its past seem to suggest it is in the Somewhat Undervalued zone.

3. Is LIC Housing Finance Ltd a good buy now?

The Price Trend analysis by MoneyWorks4Me indicates it is Semi Strong which suggest that the price of LIC Housing Finance Ltd is likely to Rise-somewhat in the short term. However, please check the rating on Quality and Valuation before investing.

10 Year X-Ray of LIC Housing Finance:

Analysis of Financial Track Record

Data adjusted to bonus, split, extra-ordinary income, rights issue and change in financial year end
Data adjusted to bonus, split, extra-ordinary income, rights issue and change in financial year end

Data adjusted to bonus, split, extra-ordinary income, rights issue and change in financial year end.

Financial track record gives insight into the company's performance on key parameters over the past ten years. MoneyWorks4me’s proprietary colour codes make it easy for retail investors to gauge the company’s past performance.
LIC Housing Finance Ltd has performed well in some of the past ten years indicating its past ten year financial track record is somewhat good
Mar'15Mar'16Mar'17Mar'18Mar'19Mar'20Mar'21Mar'22Mar'23Mar'24TTM
Operating Income (₹ Cr.)10,75112,47514,07214,87517,39519,73719,88219,97422,71427,27727,387
YoY Gr. Rt. %-16%12.8%5.7%16.9%13.5%0.7%0.5%13.7%20.1%-
Adj EPS (₹ ) 27.733.138.539.948.247.554.341.652.686.688.8
YoY Gr. Rt. %-19.5%16.5%3.7%20.9%-1.5%14.3%-23.5%26.4%64.8%-
BVPS (₹ )156.1182.6221.1283.6323.6361.9408.2449.9494.2572.2611.1
YoY Gr. Rt. %-16.9%21.1%28.3%14.1%11.8%12.8%10.2%9.8%15.8%-
To view Net Profit/Total Funds (%) Colour Rating Guide click here
Net Profit/Total Funds (%)1.31.41.41.31.31.21.20.91.11.70

CAGR

CAGR Colour Code Guide

9 Years 5 Years 3 Years 1 Years
Net Interest Income10.9%9.4%11.1%20.1%
Adj EPS13.5%12.4%16.8%64.8%
BVPS15.5%12.1%11.9%15.8%
Share Price 1.8% 4% 18.1% 3.4%

Key Financial Ratios

RATIOS \ YEARSMar'15Mar'16Mar'17Mar'18Mar'19Mar'20Mar'21Mar'22Mar'23Mar'24TTM
Asset Quality Ratio To view Asset Quality Ratio Colour Rating Guide click here
Net NPA to Net Advances (%)0.20.20.10.41.120000-
Capitalization Ratio To view Capitalization Ratio Colour Rating Guide click here
Capital Adequacy Ratio (%) 15.31715.61614.413.90000-
Margins
Net Profit Margin (%)1313.413.813.51412.213.811.412.717.517.8
Performance Ratios To view Performance Ratios Colour Rating Guide click here
Return on Equity (%)18.119.519.115.815.913.914.110.111.116.214.5

Recent Performance Summary

Return on Equity has increased versus last 3 years average to 15.00%

Total Income has increased 11.12 CAGR in last 3 years

Net Profit has increased 16.83 CAGR in last 3 years

Total income growth is good in last 4 quarters

No data to display

Latest Financials - LIC Housing Finance Ltd.

Standalone Consolidated
TTM EPS (₹) 88.8 88.8
TTM Sales (₹ Cr.) 27,339 27,387
BVPS (₹.) 609.5 611.1
Reserves (₹ Cr.) 33,414 33,502
P/BV 0.95 0.95
PE 6.54 6.53
From the Market
52 Week Low / High (₹) 530.00 / 827.00
All Time Low / High (₹) 4.60 / 827.00
Market Cap (₹ Cr.) 31,915
Equity (₹ Cr.) 110
Face Value (₹) 2
Industry PE 17.4

Management X-Ray of LIC Housing Finance:

Shareholding Pattern

Promoter's Holding & Share Pledging

Pledged *0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
* Pledged shares as % of Promoter's holding (%)

Event Update

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Analyst's Notes

LIC Housing Fin: Why we recommend SELL - 25 Feb 2020

We have recently given a sell call on LICHF. Refer to our note dated Link 

Our sell call is solely due to potential merger with IDBI Bank. The new development of an impending IDBI Bank merger has added to the stock price overhang. Many clients have reached out to us to say why we are selling at a loss of 20-30%. Please understand that we can’t be right on every stock. We have to cut our losers fast. We are following a portfolio strategy where we don’t worry about individual losers or individual winners. Besides, if we look at portfolio level this loss is negligible (30% loss on a 2-5% position is 0.5%-1.5% loss on a portfolio level). Secondly, we have already identified other investments recently which will take care of our losers here and there. 

Also, there is high probability that our position in LICHF may continue to be in loss for the next couple of years. You will make up your returns by simply putting this money in a fixed deposit rather than staying invested in LICHF. (Or even better in other stocks that can compound at 15% CAGR)

Investing success is all about investor discipline and that means cutting your losers before they become large. In past our investments in Lupin, Tata Motors, etc. have disappointed us as we held on thinking that they would recover over time. We could have made up for those losses from several other winners instead of holding on. We are avoiding such situations wherein we know that there is an overhang and no recovery in sight. 

We find the merger could be very lucrative for LIC, the parent company, as it already holds IDBI Bank but it could be bad for minority shareholders of LIC HF. 

You may choose to cut half the position right away and sell the rest in 2-3 tranches on 5-10% rise in stock price.

LIC Housing Finance: Event update - 17 Feb 2020

As per a report by Business Standard, LIC may expediate merger of LIC HF and IDBI Bank. 

LIC HF has a good business model of housing finance and good growth prospects. Its ROE is top notch and its growth rate is above average. We had bought assuming that we would benefit from its distribution, scale and reputation. We expected that LIC HF was coming out of its NPA over a quarter or so. 

Today’s news has rattled the market that if LIC HF were to merge IDBI Bank, minority shareholders will be short changed. IDBI Bank is not a good bank and with high NPA, limited branch spread and large exposure to not so good corporates.

We believe that even if there is no merger on cards for now (stated by LIC HF management on CNBC TV18), there will be an overhang on the stock of eventual merger which will restrict our upside.

Although today’s stock reaction is too harsh on ‘un-confirmed news”, we would recommend to exit at 15-20% loss, as we expect the stock recovers of 5-10%. Wait for our SELL signal to act on it. 

LIC HF: Quarterly Result update - 30 Jan 2020

Results: LIC Housing Finance (LIC HF) reported revenue growth of 13% in Q3FY20 but profit before tax declined 13% from last year.

  • NIM% was stable over last quarter.
  • Individual AUM growth as well as AUM growth was 13% over last year.
  • Disbursement growth in individual loan was 6% though low was better than 4% last quarter.
  • LIC HF reported 2.75% Gross NPA  (5710 Cr vs ~5000 Cr in previous quarter) and made 44% provisioning on the same.

Outlook: Disbursement growth is improving albeit at slower pace than our expectation. LIC HF asset quality has been under pressure due to increase in NPA from developer loans. It had already made 44% provisions and we expect recovery/upgrade from its projects as they are backed by collateral and 50-60% complete. There is no geographical concentration in slow moving markets like NCR/Mumbai which makes us hopeful on recovery/upgrade. 

We have a BUY on LIC HF as it caters to individual housing in India. We do see the growth story panning out with some aberration in pockets due to tough economic conditions. We are confident on growth and prospects of LICHF thanks to underpenetrated housing and distribution ability of the company. Current underperformance in stock price is in lines with other HFCs that have been facing pain from large exposure to developer book (average 30%+ versus LICHF's 7%). We find LIC HF trades at discount to its long term average valuation and provide good margin of safety.

 

LIC HF: Rise in NPA, confident of recovery - 23 Oct 2019

Results: LIC Housing Finance (LICHF) reported year on year operating profit growth of 16%. Net Interest Income also jumped 16% year on year. Loan book grew by 14.5% year on year and 80% of fresh disbursement happened in individual home loan segment.

However, there was deterioration in asset quality on quarterly basis. Developer loan book saw 14% NPA while individual loan and LAP saw NPA of 1% and 2%+ respectively. Together this amounts to around 5,000 Cr. Provisions for the same stands at 2,000 Cr.

The management believes that bulk of the NPAs in developer loan book is near completion and recovery is likely over subsequent quarters.

Outlook: The management has highlighted that they are taking cautious approach in developer segment and focusing more on affordable housing segment for future growth. However, due to wafer thin margins in individual housing segment, LICHF has no option but to have some exposure to high margin developer loans. Current environment is making it difficult for even good developers to delay payments as they are not able to receive incremental loans for project completion. Many developers haven’t been receiving fresh funds from NBFC and banks as they have turned risk averse from recent episodes of defaults in select pockets.

Today, LICHF trades at less than 1x Forward book value. We are confident that we can earn more than 15% CAGR on the stock as developer NPA recover partially and new profits from other segments will add to profits. More comfort comes from lower corporate tax rate announced by FM in Sept’19. 

We have given a buy call on LIC Housing Finance to capture the growth story housing finance in India. We do see the growth story panning out with some aberration in pockets due to tough economic conditions. We are confident on growth and prospects of LICHF thanks to underpenetrated housing and distribution ability of the company. Current pressure in stock price is in lines with other HFCs that have been facing pain from large exposure to developer book (average 30%+ versus LICHF's 7%). 

If you haven't bought LICHF upto max recommended allocation yet, you can consider adding to the stock.

LIC HF: Long Term Compounder - 05 Sep 2019

Summary

LIC Housing Finance (LIC HF) has been experiencing fall in stock price over last month due to risk from developer loans and risk of bank’s low-cost loans. We believe that these issues are transitionary and do not affect long term valuation much. Exposure to real estate is low (7% of loan book), distribution is niche and based on relationships made by LIC insurance agents to experience any major migration to banks. We have increased Max. Recommended Allocation to LIC HF at Rs. 400/share.

MoneyWorks4me Opinion

LIC HF started slipping from Rs. 550/share post its first quarterly results. Part of the sell off was large chunk liquidated by FII (Fidelity Funds from 6% to 3%). The primary concern since quarterly results is ageing of developer loans and start of NPA creation. The management highlighted that the loans are granular, and recovery has commenced. The loan coverage ratio 1.5x meaning for every 100 they have 150 collateral. Currently developer loans form 7% of portfolio. Rest of the 93% loan book is individual mortgage & LAPs.

Current operating profit before provisions & tax is Rs. 4000 Cr. Current NPA stand at Rs. 2000 Cr. For current NPAs, the company has already made provisions for 45%.

Even if we assume 20% of developer loan book becomes NPA incrementally, it will have default of 4000 Cr can be provided in 1 year i.e. loss of 1 year of profits or translating in Rs. 70/share or 13% to our MRP. Assuming there is 50% recovery, it has impact of around 35/share or 5% of MRP. The stock already trades at around 30% discount to fair price of Rs. 585/share.

Second, concern on banks eating into LIC HF’s lunch. Recent RBI regulations to mandate banks to link home loans to repo rate will make bank’s home loan very competitive leading to more repayments of LIC HF’s outstanding loans. However, we believe that with fall in repo rate & govt bond rate, even LIC HF will benefit from bond market (once it revives from current liquidity condition). LIC HF is rated AAA and has strong parentage. We believe it can raise funds at marginal spread to Govt bond rate.

Besides, LIC HF has enough opportunities to lend due to large demand in affordable housing, under ownership of homes and with lot of small sized HFCs closing down the business due to lack of liquidity. This will compensate for some repayment of loans. We are confident on execution abilities of LIC HF. 

LIC HF has delivered returns similar to HDFC Ltd in past 20 years. 

Source: moneycontrol.com

Valuation

Today LIC HF’s valuation stands at 1.2x P/B ratio and 8x P/E ratio. With ROE of in excess of 14% over long term, we believe the stock currently more than discounts current concerns. We expect to earn 15%+ CAGR from current prices including dividends (2% dividend yield).

We had said in our previous note that if the stock falls further we will add more. We are recommending buying LIC HF upto Max. Recommended Allocation at prices Rs. 400/share and below.

If you have already bought Max. Allocation, you do not need to add more. 

 

 

Risks: Longer than expected liquidity tightness, lower than expected recovery from NPAs.

LIC Housing Finance: NBFC with limited hindrances - 22 Aug 2019

LIC Housing Finance has been falling along with other NBFCs after recovering around 30%+ from its earlier lows. Recent fall of 11% on 22nd August’19 was due to large block deal by institutional investor.

LIC Housing Finance reported ~16% growth in loans. Developer loan grew 60%+ and now forms just 7% of overall loan book. Individual loan book forms around 93% of loan book. The management has highlighted that they see good growth prospects in affordable housing; Developer loan is very limited and has good collateral cover.

GNPA was at Rs. 3887 crore (2% of loan book) out of which Rs 2307 crore was attributable to individual loans, while developer loans stood at Rs 1580 crore attributable to eight developer projects. The management has shared that these are fully constructed properties and have almost 1.5x cover versus the debt. This has spooked the market due to slowdown in overall real estate market.

Siddhartha Mohanty, MD & CEO, said, “The business environment continued to be quite challenging. However, despite that, the company’s outstanding loan book grew consistently, especially on the home loan segment. The company has also performed quite well in the affordable segment. The company is focusing on asset quality and recovery aspect and we are confident of addressing the situation in the current year.”

MoneyWorks4me Opinion

We believe that these NPA levels were expected but recovery in mortgage is good as its backed by property of higher value. The replacement value of property doesn’t deteriorate versus the plant and machinery in normal Banking business.

Offlate there has been increase in competition in housing finance but we believe that there is enough opportunity in housing finance space. Many players have vacated the space due to inadequate funding.

We are very optimistic on long term growth potential of housing finance. Housing finance is a very good proxy for housing sector growth versus investing in a real estate company. LIC Housing has large individual loan book and distribution to reach out more individuals via insurance agents of parent company. Strong individual mortgage loan book gives its an edge to raise money from the market to lend for home loans.

Valuation

 

LIC Housing Finance earns around 1.3%-1.8% ROA across the cycle. Its ROE ranges from 15%-18%. Today LIC trades at 1.28x Price to book ratio versus median price to book ratio of around 2.32x

We have successfully avoided Indiabulls and DHFL due to their risky loan exposures. We shortlisted only HDFC Ltd and LIC Housing Finance due to their established track record, conservative underwriting, ability to raise funds and large distribution advantage.

Based on favourable valuation and good long term prospects, we recommend buying LIC Housing Finance upto recommended allocation. If stock goes lower, we may add more.

Key Ratios of LIC Housing Finance

Adj EPS (Rs.)

Total Income (Cr.)

ROE (%)

BVPS (Rs.)

Profit And Loss

(All Figures are in Crores.)
PARTICULARSMar'15Mar'16Mar'17Mar'18Mar'19Mar'20Mar'21Mar'22Mar'23Mar'24
Income10,94112,61014,23914,87617,39819,74219,88620,00522,72827,278
Interest Income10,75112,47514,07214,87517,39519,73719,88219,97422,71427,277
Other Income 189135167235431141
Expenditure 8,82110,03511,26612,09414,00716,45916,52017,21819,16721,213
Interest Expense 8,3109,30710,23111,14412,89114,78214,45014,15116,13518,385
Operating Expenses 4395206624464615626259379731,091
Provisions 722083725046551,1151,4452,1302,0591,737
Exceptional Items 0000000000
Profit Before Tax 2,1192,5752,9732,7823,3923,2823,3652,7873,5616,064
Taxes 7229071,0317749578796245016701,305
Profit After Tax 1,3981,6681,9422,0082,4342,4042,7412,2862,8914,760
Adjusted EPS (₹)27.733.138.539.948.247.554.341.652.686.6
Dividend Payout Ratio (%)18%17%16%17%16%17%16%20%16%10%

Balance Sheet

(All Figures are in Crores.)
PARTICULARSMar'15Mar'16Mar'17Mar'18Mar'19Mar'20Mar'21Mar'22Mar'23Mar'24

Equity and Liabilities

Equity Capital7,8809,21511,15614,31116,33118,26520,60124,75127,18531,477
Share Capital 101101101101101101101110110110
Reserves 7,7799,11411,05514,21016,23018,16420,50024,64127,07531,367
Minority Interest2222223333
Long Term Borrowings82,21693,1501,06,8441,32,6611,48,0441,55,1161,80,2671,95,3252,08,7812,23,342
Current Liabilities 22,53328,22132,99623,80435,76943,01033,93133,23740,69434,874
Trade Payables27375153753186543471
Short term borrowings2,6985,4407,58713,42023,59236,33627,23027,26434,47028,068
Other Liabilities-2,725-5,477-7,639-13,473-23,667-36,367-27,316-27,318-34,503-28,138
Total Liabilities 1,12,6301,30,5871,50,9971,70,7792,00,1462,16,3932,34,8032,53,3152,76,6632,89,695

Assets

Non Current Asset 1,02,2651,18,1601,36,3261,67,5421,94,7102,10,5892,31,0472,50,5532,73,2882,86,373
Loan Asset 1,01,8251,17,6521,35,4141,66,1291,92,9462,07,9152,28,0432,45,2222,67,7612,80,518
Other Non Current Asset 4405089121,4131,7642,6743,0045,3315,5275,854
Current Asset 10,36512,42814,6713,2375,4365,8053,7552,7623,3753,323
Current Investment1317181,0142,2943,5952,1701,5632,2911,637
Other Current Asset10,35212,41114,6532,2233,1422,2091,5851,2001,0841,686
Total Assets 1,12,6301,30,5871,50,9971,70,7792,00,1462,16,3932,34,8032,53,3152,76,6632,89,695

Cash Flow

(All Figures are in Crores.)
PARTICULARSMar'15Mar'16Mar'17Mar'18Mar'19Mar'20Mar'21Mar'22Mar'23Mar'24
Cash Flow From Operating Activity -14,345-13,039-14,273-18,977-21,538-14,738-17,140-16,729-19,632-7,151
Cash Flow From Investing Activity -58-58-2781,368-1,642-1,851858-1,628-800587
Cash Flow From Financing Activity 14,23214,09815,07218,07424,06815,15616,24517,85020,2497,346
Net Cash Flow -1711,001521465887-1,434-37-507-183781
PARTICULARSMar'15Mar'16Mar'17Mar'18Mar'19Mar'20Mar'21Mar'22Mar'23Mar'24

Operational & Financial Ratios

EPS (₹)28333840484754425387
DPS (₹)5667889999
BVPS (₹)156183221284324362408450494572

Performance Ratios

ROA (%)1.31.41.41.31.31.21.20.91.11.7
ROE (%)18.119.519.115.815.913.914.110.111.116.2
ROCE (%)10.810.610.39.49.49.18.17.17.68.8

Valuation Parameters

Price/Book(x)2.82.72.81.91.70.71.10.80.71.1

LIC Housing Finance Ltd Stock News

LIC Housing Finance Ltd FAQs

Company share prices are keep on changing according to the market conditions. The closing price of LIC Housing Finance on 23-Jan-2025 16:59 is ₹580.2.
Market capitalization or market cap is determined by multiplying the current market price of a company's shares with the total number of shares outstanding. As of 23-Jan-2025 16:59 the market cap of LIC Housing Finance stood at ₹31,914.7.
The latest P/E ratio of LIC Housing Finance as of 23-Jan-2025 16:59 is 6.54.
The latest P/B ratio of LIC Housing Finance as of 23-Jan-2025 16:59 is 0.95.
The 52-week high of LIC Housing Finance is ₹827.0 and the 52-week low is ₹530.0.
The TTM revenue is Trailing Twelve Months sales. The TTM revenue/sales of LIC Housing Finance is ₹27,339 ( Cr.) .

About LIC Housing Finance Ltd

Incorporated in 1989, LIC Housing Finance Ltd is one of the largest Housing Finance Companies in India with a key objective of providing long term finance to individuals for the purchase or construction of house/flat for residential purposes in India. LIC Housing Finance also provides finance on existing property for business/ personal needs and also gives loans to professionals for purchase/construction of Clinics/Nursing Homes/ Diagnostic Centers/ Office Space and also for purchase of equipment. The company also provides finance to builders and developers engaged in the business of construction of houses or flats for residential purpose and to be sold by them.

The company went public in 1994 and since then its stocks are listed and actively traded on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) and Bombay Stock Exchange Limited (BSE). LIC Housing Finance is amongst the pioneers in India ensuring access to housing finance for home ownership. With a strong business foundation, an extensive distribution network and proven industry expertise, LIC HFL is a respected and trusted financial services company.

Business area of the company

LIC Housing Finance is one of the largest Housing Finance Company in India. The main objective of the company is providing long term finance to individuals for purchase or construction of house or flat for residential purpose / repair and renovation of existing flat / houses.

Services & Products offered by the company

Home loan

  • Housing loan
  • Other Home loan products
  • Refinance
  • Special offers

Corporate/ Projects Loans

  • Corporate
  • Builders/ Developers

Other Loans

  • Loan against property
  • Loan against securities
  • Loans to professional
  • Loan against property for companies
  • Loan under rental securitizations

Awards & Accolades

  • Received Data Quality Award by Transunion CIBIL in the Housing Finance Company category at the TU CIBIL Annual Conference 2019.
  • Awarded the ‘Best Housing Finance Company’ at the National Real Estate Congress Leadership & Awards 2019.
  • Listed as ‘The Outperforming Housing Finance Company 2019’ by Outlook Business
  • Awarded Best Private Issuer 2019 on Electronic Bidding Platform by National Stock Exchange
  • Featured in the Top 10 Most Consistent Wealth Creators according to the ‘Motilal Oswal 24th Annual Wealth Creation Study, 2019’.

Milestones:

  • 1989: Incorporated LICHFL; Lending commences from first office in Delhi.
  • 1994: Launched IPO of Rs 120 crore.
  • 2002: Set up Dubai office, marking first overseas presence
  • 2004: Loan portfolio crosses Rs 10,000 crore
  • 2004: $29 million GDR issue; First HFC to do GDR issue oversubscribe
  • 2009: QIP of $135 million oversubscribed 6 times
  • 2015: Loan portfolio crosses Rs 1,00,000 crore
  • 2017: Crossed Rs 1,50,000 crore in assets
  • 2018: Profiled in India’s Leading BFSI Companies 2018 by Dun & Bradstreet
  • 2019: Crossed Rs 2,00,000 crore in assets.
  • 2020: LIC Housing Finance identifies 14 projects for alternative investment fund
  • 2020: LIC Housing Finance launches Project RED to improve efficiencies
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