Part 4: Strategy or How the heck do I get to Financial Freedom?
4.10 The assumptions should ensure it works successfully despite shit happening
Has your plan taken into account things going wrong in the future? Is it shock-proof? How do you make it shock-proof? What is the rationale behind the planning that should give you the confidence it is? What is the role of different asset classes in your plan? Finally, what is the One Thing that you can do to make your plan a success?
When you are planning for the future it’s really stupid to believe that shit won’t happen. A plan that works only under near ideal conditions is more hope than a plan. At the same time, if you want a plan that handle anything and everything that can potentially go wrong shows that you are a hypochondriac who should be institutionalized, ????. But jokes apart, a good plan must ensure success and enable you to make changes to it when unbelievable shit happens. Setting realistic expectations is the key here!
A plan made with aggressive assumptions on returns can put your goals at serious risk. In the table below you can see by how much you could miss under different scenarios. A plan assuming 20% returns but earning only 12% will fall short by more than 50%.
So let check out how the plan that you made on Moneyworkls4me or elsewhere measures on this. In all financial planning there are some assumptions of expenses and returns. And the first thing is that you can make changes to any of these and get a revised plan. But for that you need to understand the rationale in your planning process. I am sure this will reassure you that you actually have an amazing Plan and Planning Tool. If you are using a different tool or service you need to check it against what you learn here.
Let’s check the default setting on the Financial Plan done @ moneyworks4me.
Rate of inflation and returns on debt and equity assumed in the planning is deliberately on the conservative...........Read More
MoneyWorks4Me method for rating and ranking mutual funds for SIP
MoneyWorks4Me rating and ranking of funds for SIP is available to subscribers only. Moneyworks4Me is not a rating and
ranking agency, however it is required that users have a way of selecting funds and building a Portfolio. The method used by it are described below to enable users to understand the logic behind the rating and ranking Subscriber will find more details on this in the
various content made available from time to time. In case you need more please write to besafe@moneyworks4Me.com
MoneyWorks4Me rates and ranks mutual funds based on the following data-driven system:
Performance Consistency: This is measure based on whether the fund has beaten the benchmark index consistently. For
this we compare the 3-year rolling returns of the fund with the benchmark for a minimum of 5 years and preferable 10
years. The period of rolling is one month and holding period is 3 years. Fund are color-coded Green on Performance when
the fund beats the benchmark more than 90% of the time. It is Orange if it beats 80% to 90% of the time and Red if less
than 80%. Funds with less than 5 year data are color-coded Grey.
Quality of Portfolio Holding: Moneyworks4Me has color-coded stocks as Green, Orange and Red based on whether the
company's performance has generated a ROCE above a threshold level (cost of capital) over 10 years (minimum 6 years) and
generated positive Free Cash Flow. For Banks it checks whether ROE is greater than 15% and sales has grown over previous
year. Stocks that perform consistently on these combined metrics are color-coded Green (min score 14 out of 20), Orange
(between 8 and 14) and Red (less than 8 out of 20).
Fund are color-coded Green provided the portfolio has 70% holding in Green stocks but not more than 20% in Red stocks.
Funds with more than 20% Red stocks in the portfolio are color-coded Red. The rest are Orange funds
Funds ranking in screeners: Performance Consistency and Quality are two parameters used for ranking funds for SIP. The
ranking as follows GG, GO, GR, OG, OO, OR, RG, RO and RR.
With the same color-coded funds, the one with the higher Average 3-year rolling returns (over 5 to 10 years), the number
that appears in the Performance tag, ranks higher.
Here is the summary:
The third tag Upside Potential is not relevant for SIP. It is relevant for lumpsum investments in Mutual Funds.
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As an Investor most important decision making questions are?
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Want to invest successfully in stocks?
How the heck do you select a solution that ensures it?
Does it get you focused on meeting your financial goals?
Does it get you focused on meeting your financial goals?
Investing is to means to funding your goals. Your solution must help you get clarity of your goals and how you should invest to reach them. Does your solution include Financial Planning?
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